Is Trump likely to be re-elected?

 

 

中国义乌的商贩已经决定了2020年川建国同志继续连任米国大统领

目前义乌的纺织工厂已开始陆陆续续接到美国订单，开始生产特朗普2020年竞选时所需的旗帜和支持者所穿的衬衫。而其总订单量已经数倍于民主党竞选所开出的需求。

The traders in Yiwu, China have decided that in 2020, Comrade Chuan Jianguo（Another name for Trump, jianguo is a common name in China in the 1970s.） will continue to be re-elected as the leader of the country.

At present, the textile factory in Yiwu has begun to receive orders from the United States to start producing the shirts and shirts worn by Trump in the 2020 campaign. And its total order volume has been several times the demand of the Democratic Party.

 

对于每个现任总统来讲，连任相当容易。

总体来讲，现任总统相对于普通竞争者而言，具有的优势有：

1.广泛的知名度。

2.政绩背书。

政绩方面特朗普没有问题，而且相对于16年大选，他还有新的优势：

共和党内nevertrump的灭绝，标志着GOP的上下团结，至少党不会拖人的后腿。

另外，若民主党中期选举中未能取得重要胜利，内部极左派和温和派的撕裂将越来越大。

 

For each current president, re-election is quite easy. In general, the current president has advantages over ordinary competitors:
1. Extensive visibility.
2. Achievements.
Trump has no problem in terms of political achievements, and he has a new advantage over the 16-year general election: the extinction of the nevertrump in the Republican Party marks the unity of the GOP, and at least the party will not drag people down. In addition, if the Democratic Party’s midterm elections fail to achieve important victories, the internal extreme left and moderates will be torn apart.

 

感觉近百年来美帝总统只要保住命，政绩不出大问题，自己又有意愿那连任是大概率事件。

It is felt that the President of the United States has only kept his life for nearly a hundred years, and his political achievements are not a big problem. He has the willingness to re-elect is a high probability event.

 

不了解美国政治，但是连奥巴马都能连任，不用多说了吧？

 

I don't understand American politics, but even Obama can be re-elected. Needless to say?

 

如果初选能过关，大选胜算很大，拉美裔再努力生也来不及了。

If the primary election can pass, the election wins a lot, and it is too late for Hispanics to work hard to have children.

 

連小布什都能連任，特朗普十有八九也能連任。

Even Bush can be re-elected, and Trump can be re-elected in all likelihood.

 

很大 也好很希望他连任

资本主义是在共产主义的逼迫之下才学会福利制度 共产主义在资本主义的反攻之下才放弃了世卿世禄

底层屁屁想过的更好 必须有外部压力

Possibility, I hope that he will be re-elected.

Capitalism learned the welfare system under the persecution of communism. Communism gave up the power of generations under the counterattack of capitalism.

The bottom civilians have thought better, there must be external pressure

 

只要不死就能连任。

As long as he does not die, he can be re-elected as president.

 

基本只要不犯大错，没有不连任的，因为不是谁都愿意把中期没干完的烂摊子接下来的。

Basically, as long as there is no big mistake, there is no non-renewable, because no one is willing to put the mess that the president has not finished in the middle of the next.

 

 

https://www.zhihu.com/question/296384354